India’s green hydrogen market could reach $8bn by 2030
Green hydrogen can substantially spur industrial decarbonisation and economic growth for India in the coming decades, says a report launched on 29 June 2022.
Given that the majority of this demand could be met with green hydrogen in the long-term, the cumulative value of the green hydrogen market in India could reach US$8 billion by 2030, according to the report ‘Harnessing Green Hydrogen: Opportunities for Deep Decarbonisation in India’.
The report, co-authored by NITI Aayog and RMI, underscores that green hydrogen, produced by renewable energy through electrolysis of water, will be crucial for achieving decarbonisation of harder-to-abate sectors such as, fertilisers, refining, methanol, maritime shipping, iron & steel and transport.
It further states that with emerging global momentum on hydrogen, India can situate this decarbonisation opportunity not just within the context of a low-carbon economy but also as an enabler of energy security and economic development for the nation.
Launched by Suman Bery, Vice Chairman, and Amitabh Kant, CEO, NITI Aayog, the report provides a pathway to accelerate the emergence of a green hydrogen economy, which is critical for India to achieve its net-zero ambitions by 2070.
The report was an outcome of detailed study spread over a year by NITI Aayog and RMI.
Bery said, “An important message of the report was that green hydrogen can potentially provide a replacement of fossil fuels in industrial processes.”
“The next steps at the policy level could involve arriving at the correct mix between mandates-regulations and price instruments.”
Kant highlighted the importance of green hydrogen from the point of view of energy security and the need to achieve size and scale to push down costs of green hydrogen.
Given the right policies, India can emerge as the least cost producer and bring down the price of green hydrogen to US$1 per kg by 2030, he pointed out.
While hydrogen can be produced from multiple sources, India’s distinct advantage in low-cost renewable electricity means that green hydrogen will emerge as the most cost-effective form.
The report concludes that hydrogen demand in India could grow more than four-fold by 2050, representing almost 10% of global demand.
Highlighting the opportunity, Clay Stranger, RMI Managing Director, said that there is significant global interest in green hydrogen and countries are in the first stages of formulating a strategy and this will ultimately decide the winners and losers of the hydrogen economy.
The report can become a reference for policy making in India.
The report describes pathways that can capture the benefits of green hydrogen:
Near-term policy measures can bring down the current costs of green hydrogen to make it competitive with the existing grey hydrogen (hydrogen produced by natural gas) prices.
Medium-term price targets should be set to guide the industry towards making green hydrogen the most competitive form of hydrogen.
The Government can encourage near term market development by identifying industrial clusters and enacting associated viability gap funding, mandates and targets.
Opportunities around research and development and manufacturing of components like electrolysers need to be identified and appropriately encouraged with adequate financial mechanisms such as production-linked incentive (PLI) schemes to enable 25 GW of manufacturing capacity of electrolysers by 2028.
A globally competitive green hydrogen industry can lead to exports in green hydrogen and hydrogen-embedded low-carbon products like green ammonia and green steel that can unlock 95 GW of electrolysis capacity in the nation by 2030.
NITI Aayog’s partner for this report, RMI, works for the transformation of global energy systems through market-driven solutions to align with a 1.5°C future and secure a clean, prosperous, zero-carbon future for all.
It works in the world’s most critical geographies and engages businesses, policymakers, communities, and NGOs to identify and scale up energy system interventions that will cut greenhouse gas emissions by at least 50 percent by 2030.
Partner institutions play a critical role in creating a knowledge ecosystem for NITI Aayog and jointly work on key policy issues and leverages expertise in respective areas. fiinews.com
